#CME 宏观影响

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6月12日:CME FedWatch 数据显示,美联储 6 月按兵不动概率极高,7 月加息预期升至 7.4%,降息空间被大幅压缩。。 7月16日:CME FedWatch 数据显示,美联储 7 月按兵不动概率近九成,9 月加息预期升至 48.7%。。 6月29日:7月维持利率不变概率为69.5%,9月加息预期显著升温,加息25基点概率达46.9%。。 (关注度快速升温)

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KOL Opinions
LA
Lark Davis
22 hours ago
Neutral
Retail is stacking. Bitcoin Magazine Pro's on-chain data shows wallets holding 0.1 BTC or more (~$6.2K) are closing in on a new all-time high. Current count: 4.53M wallets. Prior ATH: 4.58M, set in January 2024. The trend line is climbing fast enough that this cohort could hit a new high within 6-12 months. The key difference from 2024: back then Bitcoin was entering a bull market. This time it's happening in the middle of a bear market.
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LA
Lark Davis
23 hours ago
Neutral
A vault inside a secret nuclear bunker in the Swiss Alps is protecting a significant amount of Bitcoin. Teams of security, massive vault doors, millions spent annually. Here is why this matters. (Affiliate link ahead, thanks if you'll use it) https://t.co/m3Ht6Gecij
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