Whale Tracker Weekly
Research ThemeIndustry ResearchIn DepthContinuous Tracking
Track on-chain whale address fund flows, net inflows and outflows to exchanges, and large-value transfers.
3WOOFUN ResearchCreated: 2024-09Updated: 2026/07/15
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Theme Analysis
AI-generatedWOOFUN AI · Whale Tracker Weekly Theme Overview
AI-generatedThis week, whale capital showed significant divergence: institutional ETFs faced massive outflows, while Japanese firm Metaplanet defied the trend by accumulating 170,000 BTC, signaling strong long-term confidence. On-chain metrics indicate BTC valuations have returned to reasonable levels, with SOPR approaching breakeven. The market exhibits a mix of reluctance to sell and selling pressure, alongside net outflows from exchanges, as short-term panic and long-term portfolio restructuring occur simultaneously.
Key Judgements (with Probability)WOOFUN AI · Historical regression + on-chain data
If BTC price breaks below $60,000 and exchange inflows persist, the $55,000 support level will likely be tested in the short term.Probability 75%
If institutions like Metaplanet continue accumulating, BTC's long-term valuation center will shift upward, with MVRV expected to rebound above 1.2.Probability 80%
If ETF outflows exceed $50 billion, the market may trigger a cascade of selling, potentially pushing SOPR below 0.95.Probability 65%
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