Prediction market: Polymarket’s “BTC 8/18 rise/fall” probability changed by 15.00% in 24 hours

Polymarket data shows the probability of BTC rising on Aug 18 hit 61.5%, surging 15% in 24 hours, reflecting heightened short-term bullish sentiment and risk appetite.

Data from Polymarket shows that the current probability of a price fluctuation for Bitcoin on August 18 is 61.5%, with a 24-hour change of +15.0%. This significant increase in probability reflects rising short-term bullish sentiment in the market, as investors are accelerating their bets on Bitcoin’s upward trend on that date, which aligns with the broader macro trend of increasing risk-on appetite among crypto assets recently.