Kalshi July Volume Hits $41B, Surpassing Polymarket 3.2x

Kalshi recorded $41B in July notional volume, outpacing Polymarket by 3.22x. Meanwhile, 1confirmation founder notes Polymarket leads on-chain prediction markets.

Woofun AI data shows Kalshi’s July notional trading volume exceeded $41 billion, approximately 3.22 times that of Polymarket. While 1confirmation founder stated Polymarket remains the leading on-chain prediction market, its US app is still in early stages. Bitwise CIO indicated the crypto industry will continue developing even if the CLARITY Act fails. Coldcard security losses revealed regional disparities, with Canadian BTC holders suffering 25% attributable losses, followed by Australia, the US, and Thailand. Elon Musk noted storage capacity grows 20% annually, but demand could grow 200% or more. SpaceX executive stated the goal is to return humans to the moon by 2028. Trump warned Iran faces "severe blows" if it backs out of negotiations again. SpaceX shares face unlock peak from August to November, with employee share-selling pressure potentially capping stock price gains.